800 AM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Near the Southeastern U.S.:
An area of low pressure could develop near the southeast U.S.
Atlantic or Gulf coasts by this weekend along a weakening frontal
boundary. Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive
for some slow development, but a tropical or subtropical depression
could form in this region over the weekend or early next week while
the system moves little. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall
is possible across portions of the southeast U.S., particularly
across the west-central Florida coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.