800 PM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025 - For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: 

1. Western Atlantic (AL95):  Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in association with a low pressure system located a few hundred miles east of the North Carolina coast.  The low is producing gale-force

winds, and it appears that the system is becoming separated from the nearby frontal zone to its north and west.  If the shower and thunderstorm activity persists, the low would continue to acquire tropical characteristics, with a tropical storm likely to form later tonight or on Monday while moving east-northeastward at 10 to 15 mph over the western Atlantic, away from the coast of North Carolina.  For additional information, including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.

 

2. Central Tropical Atlantic:  A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on Monday.  Thereafter, some gradual development of the wave is possible, and a tropical depression could form late this week while

it moves generally west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

 

3. Off the Southeastern United States:  An area of low pressure could form in a couple of days a few hundred miles off the coast of the southeastern United States.  Some gradual development of this system is possible during the middle or latter part of the week as the system drifts to the west or northwest.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.