Tropical Storm Erin Advisory Number  12

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052025

500 AM AST Thu Aug 14 2025

...ERIN CONTINUES WESTWARD......FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY FRIDAY...

 

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION

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LOCATION...16.3N 48.2W

ABOUT 990 MI...1595 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

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There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of Erin.

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1. Southwestern Gulf (AL98):  A broad area of low pressure located over the Bay of Campeche is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The low is forecast to move west-northwestward across the Southwestern Gulf during the next day or two, where environmental conditions are marginally conducive for further development.  The system is expected to move inland over northeastern Mexico or southern Texas

by late Friday, ending its chances of tropical cyclone formation.  Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible along portions of northeastern Mexico and southern Texas over the next few days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.