Hurricane Erin Intermediate Advisory Number 41A - NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052025 - 200 PM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR BERMUDA......BEACHGOERS ARE CAUTIONED AGAINST SWIMMING AT MOST U.S. EAST COAST BEACHES DUE TO LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS...

 

SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...35.6N 70.5W

ABOUT 285 MI...455 KM E OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA

ABOUT 400 MI...640 KM NW OF BERMUDA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.12 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Bermuda Weather Service has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for

Bermuda.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...

* Cape Lookout to Duck, North Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

* Beaufort Inlet, North Carolina to Chincoteague, Virginia,

including Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds

* Bermuda

================================================================

1. Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic (AL90):  An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave is located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward

Islands.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend while it moves near or to the north of the northern Leeward Islands.

 

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):  Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located

several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands have changed little in organization since earlier today.  Environmental conditions appear marginally favorable for additional development

over the next day or so while the system moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph, and a short-lived tropical depression could form.  In a couple of days, environmental conditions are expected to

become unfavorable for further development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

 

3. Central Atlantic:  A small area of low pressure located about 1200 miles southwest of the Azores is producing a few showers and thunderstorms.  Upper-level winds are only marginally conducive for development while the system moves slowly eastward over the next couple of days

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.