Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Sep 4 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Tropical Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
over the eastern tropical Atlantic several hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands have started to consolidate
and become slightly better organized.  Environmental conditions are
conducive for development of this system during the next several
days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or
this weekend over central tropical Atlantic while moving slowly
toward the west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph.  The system is likely to
move faster toward the west or west-northwest thereafter and reach
the waters east of the Lesser Antilles by the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.