Tropical Storm Erin Intermediate Advisory Number 16A - NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052025 - 800 AM AST Fri Aug 15 2025

...ERIN BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A  HURRICANE LATER TODAY...

 

SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION

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LOCATION...18.1N 55.2W

ABOUT 520 MI...835 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...

* Anguilla and Barbuda

* St. Martin and St. Barthelemy

* Saba and St. Eustatius

* Sint Maarten

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of Erin.

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800 AM EDT Fri Aug 15 2025

 

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

 

1. Southwestern Gulf (AL98):  Shower and thunderstorm activity has persisted in association with a disturbance located about 75 miles off the coast of northeastern Mexico or southern Texas coastline.  The system could become a short-lived tropical depression before it moves inland this afternoon or evening.  Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible along portions of northeastern Mexico and southern Texas over the next couple of days, and interests there should monitor the progress of this system. Another Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later this morning.