Tropical Storm Jerry Intermediate Advisory Number 4A - NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102025  800 AM AST Wed Oct 08 2025

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING JERRY...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION

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ABOUT 835 MI...1345 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...

* Antigua, Barbuda, and Anguilla

* St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat

* St. Barthelemy and St. Martin

* Sint Maarten

* Saba and St. Eustatius

* Guadeloupe and the adjacent islands

Interests elsewhere in the northern Leeward Islands and the British and U.S. Virgin Islands should monitor the progress of Jerry.

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1. Southwestern Gulf:  Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue with a trough of low pressure moving westward across the Bay of Campeche. Some slow development of this system is possible before it moves inland over southern Mexico later today or early Thursday. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rain and gusty winds are likely across

portions of southern Mexico during the next day or so.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.